Sunday, June 16, 2024

New Poll Highlights Trump’s 2020 Woman Problem; Trails Michelle Obama, Oprah and Kamala Harris by Double Digits

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*Donald Trump could lose re-election in 2020 to a woman, based on a new Axios poll conducted by SurveyMonkey.

According to the poll match up, Trump trails former first lady Michelle Obama, media mogul Oprah Winfrey and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) by double digits in potential 2020 presidential races.

He also trails several other female candidates in potential races, although by slimmer margins, The Hill reports.

Many believe Trump’s controversial power plays — from child-separation policy at the Mexico border to the Supreme Court confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh — have eroded his support among women voters.

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In fact, all the women that pollsters asked about — including Kirsten Gillibrand, Elizabeth Warren, and 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton — would beat Trump were the election held today, according to the results.

Here’s how the poll breaks down:

Trump trails by 13 points to Obama, by 12 points to Oprah and by 10 points to Harris. He’s also down by 9 points to Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), by 6 points to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) and by 5 points to Clinton. Warren, meanwhile, has a 2-point lead.

The poll also found Trump’s approval ratings at just 40 percent, while Obama and Oprah’s favorability are at 62 and 55 percent.

The poll’s results are reportedly based on two separate surveys. As noted by axios.com:

The first was conducted October 24-28, 2018 among 3,411 adults, and has a modeled error estimate for the full sample of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. The second was conducted October 28-30, 2018 among 6,497 adults, and has a modeled error estimate for the full sample is plus or minus 1.5 percentage points.

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